Science Sources: Detection and Attribution

Climate Signals tracks detection and attribution studies in real time. Below is an updating database of studies that find the fingerprint of human-caused climate change on observed trends and events. The database is limited to studies of local significance in the United States and studies of global significance. For a broader database of peer-reviewed studies and organizational reports on climate change trends, please see all Science Sources.

Search or browse our collection of detection and attribution studies below, or learn more about detection and attribution studies.

Title Source Date Author(s)
EEE 2016: CMIP5 Model-based Assessment of Anthropogenic Influence on Record Global Warmth during 2016 Bulletin of the American Meteorological Society Thomas R. Knutson, Jonghun Kam, Fanrong Zeng and Andrew T. Wittenberg
A new statistical approach to climate change detection and attribution Climate Dynamics Aurélien Ribe, Francis W. Zwiers, Jean-Marc Azaïs, Philippe Naveau
Increased threat of tropical cyclones and coastal flooding to New York City during the anthropogenic era Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences Andra J. Reed, Michael E. Mann, Kerry A. Emanuel, Ning Lin, Benjamin P. Horton, Andrew C. Kemp, and Jeffrey P. Donnelly
Widespread persistent changes to temperature extremes occurred earlier than predicted Scientific Reports Chao Li, Yuanyuan Fang, Ken Caldeira, Xuebin Zhang, Noah S. Diffenbaugh and Anna M. Michalak
Attribution analyses of temperature extremes using a set of 16 indices Weather and Climate Extremes Nikolaos Christidis and Peter A.Stott
Early 21st century anthropogenic changes in extremely hot days as simulated by the C20C+ detection and attribution multi-model ensemble Weather and Climate Extremes Michael Wehner, Dáithí Stone, Hideo Shiogama, Piotr Wolskic, Andrew Ciavarella, Nikolaos Christidis, Harinarayan Krishnana
Arctic warming hotspot in the northern Barents Sea linked to declining sea-ice import Nature Climate Change Sigrid Lind, Randi B. Ingvaldsen, Tore Furevik
Anthropogenic influence on the changing likelihood of an exceptionally warm summer in Texas, 2011 Geophysical Research Letters David E. Rupp, Sihan Li, Neil Massey, Sarah N. Sparrow, Philip W. Mote, Myles Allen
Influence of the Ocean and Greenhouse Gases on Severe Drought Likelihood in the Central United States in 2012 Journal of Climate David E. Rupp, Sihan Li, and Philip W. Mote
Sea-level rise and other influences on decadal-scale salinity variability in a coastal plain estuary Estuarine, Coastal and Shelf Science Andrew C. Ross, Raymond G. Najjar, Ming Li, Michael E. Mann, Susan E. Ford, Brandon Katz
Structure and Detectability of Trends in Hydrological Measures over the Western United States Journal of Hydrometeorology T. Das, H. G. Hidalgo, M. D. Dettinger, D. R. Cayan, D. W. Pierce, C. Bonfils, T. P. Barnett, G. Bala and A. Mirin
Anthropogenic Warming Impacts on Today's Sierra Nevada Snowpack and Flood Risk Geophysical Research Letters Xingying Huang, Alex D. Hall, Neil Berg
Is There a Role for Human-Induced Climate Change in the Precipitation Decline that Drove the California Drought? AMS Journal of Climate Richard Seager, Naomi Henderson, Mark A. Cane, Haibo Liu, and Jennifer Nakamura
A global slowdown of tropical-cyclone translation speed Nature James P. Kossin
Effect of Reduced Summer Cloud Shading on Evaporative Demand and Wildfire in Coastal Southern California Geophysical Research Letters A. Park Williams, Pierre Gentine, Max A. Moritz, Dar A. Roberts, John T. Abatzoglou
Dominant Role of Subtropical Pacific Warming in Extreme Eastern Pacific Hurricane Seasons: 2015 and the Future AMS Journal of Climate Hiroyuki Murakami, Gabriel A. Vecchi, Thomas L. Delworth, Andrew T. Wittenberg, Seth Underwood, Richard Gudgel, Xiaosong Yang, Liwei Jia, Fanrong Zeng, Karen Paffendorf, and Wei Zhang
Observations reveal external driver for Arctic sea‐ice retreat Geophysical Research Letters Dirk Notz, Jochem Marotzke
Evidence that Recent Warming is Reducing Upper Colorado River Flows AMS Earth Interactions Gregory J. McCabe
Hurricane Harvey links to Ocean Heat Content and Climate Change Adaptation Earth's Future Kevin E. Trenberth, Lijing Cheng, Peter Jacobs, Yongxin Zhang, John Fasullo
Drivers of 2016 record Arctic warmth assessed using climate simulations subjected to Factual and Counterfactual forcing Weather and Climate Extremes Lantao Sun, Dave Allured, Martin Hoerling, Lesley Smith, Judith Perlwitz, Don Murray, Jon Eischeid