Science Source
Widespread persistent changes to temperature extremes occurred earlier than predicted
- Shows observational evidence that persistent changes to temperature extremes have already occurred over large parts of the Earth
- Shows that climate models forced with natural and anthropogenic historical forcings underestimate these changes
- Finds that persistent changes have emerged in observations earlier and over a larger spatial extent than predicted by models
- Examination of simulations with and without anthropogenic forcings provides evidence that the observed changes are more likely to be anthropogenic than nature in origin
- Findings suggest that further changes to temperature extremes over parts of the Earth are likely to occur earlier than projected by the current climate models
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