Publication Date August 13, 2010 | BBC News

Will the Pakistan floods strike again?

Pakistan
Millions of people have been displaced by the floods. Photo: Reuters
Millions of people have been displaced by the floods. Photo: Reuters

Professor Martin Gibling of Dalhousie University in Halifax, Canada, a river expert who has worked in the region, thinks that changes in the strength of the monsoon caused by climate change may be to blame. He explained: "Although many factors are involved, monsoon intensity is especially sensitive to the surface temperature of the Indian Ocean"... Professor Rajiv Sinha, from the Indian Institute of Technology in Kanpur, who has had first hand experience of Asian river floods, takes a more strident position. "What all the climate models predict is that the distribution of monsoon rains will become more uneven in the future...Total rainfall stays the same, but it comes in shorter more intense bursts."